Team SRS Offense Defensive
Philadelphia Eagles 10.6 3.1 7.4
New England Patriots 9.9 2.4 7.5
Minnesota Vikings 7.7 -0.5 8.3
Buffalo Bills 7.3 4.5 2.8
Denver Broncos 5.9 -2.2 8.1
Dallas Cowboys 5.8 2.5 3.3
Atlanta Falcons 5.4 10.1 -4.7
Arizona Cardinals 5.1 -0 5.2
Pittsburgh Steelers 4.6 3.4 1.2
San Diego Chargers 3.2 4.9 -1.7
Seattle Seahawks 2.9 -6.4 9.2
Kansas City Chiefs 1.5 -2.5 4
Green Bay Packers 0.9 1.2 -0.4
Washington Redskins 0.4 0.9 -0.5
Oakland Raiders 0.2 2.3 -2.1
New York Giants 0.2 -2.6 2.8
Miami Dolphins -0.6 -0 -0.6
Cincinnati Bengals -1 -1.2 0.2
Detroit Lions -1.5 1.1 -2.6
New Orleans Saints -1.7 5.5 -7.3
Carolina Panthers -1.9 3 -4.9
Baltimore Ravens -2.6 -5.2 2.6
Indianapolis Colts -3 5 -8
Tennessee Titans -3.9 -3.9 -0.1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 -1.7 -2.3
Houston Texans -4.3 -3.5 -0.8
Los Angeles Rams -4.4 -4.5 0.1
New York Jets -5.7 -1.9 -3.9
Cleveland Browns -7.8 -1.1 -6.8
Chicago Bears -8 -7.4 -0.7
San Francisco 49ers -9.6 -0.4 -9.2
Jacksonville Jaguars -9.8 -5.4 -4.4

Credit to pro-football-reference.com for the above stats.  SRS means Simple Ratings System, which takes into account margin of victory and strength of schedule.  It’s more based on points scored versus points allowed rather than win/loss records.  This is a departure from previous statistical rankings I’ve posted, which are based on points scored on all plays relative to what teams have done in the past in those same down, distance, and yard-line scenarios.  You can think of SRS as a point spread, but add about 2 points for home field advantage.  Example: the Saints host the Seahawks.  Saints are -1.7, Seahawks are +2.9 for a difference of +4.6 for the Seahawks.  Factor in the +2 home advantage, and you get a net of +2.6 for the Seahawks.  Vegas has the Seahawks as -2.5 road favorites in the game, which falls perfectly in line with these rankings.

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